Education journals get a lot of flack for their low research standards and willingness to publish almost anything. I've heard many people say that what education needs is something akin to JAMA or Science. But look--Science just published an article using sophisticated modeling techniques to predict that most California schools will eventually fail to make "adequate yearly progress" under No Child Left Behind. Its title? "School Performance Will Fail to Meet Legislated Benchmarks."
Hello? Any fifth grader could tell you that "school performance will fail to meet legislated benchmarks" when the legislated benchmarks are getting 100 percent of students to the proficient level.
Coming next issue in Science: "Baseball sluggers unlikely to bat 1.000."
Maybe education needs a different exemplar to follow?